The South is once again important electorally
Howard Dean is heading for Saturday’s Michigan and Washington on muttering Caucasus could-have-beens, for example: if John Kerry were only 7-0 on Tuesday.
Dean really need a sweep of state of seven of Kerry. Joe Lieberman is gone. Wesley Clark will soon be his national campaign is absent. And if John Edwards had lost South Carolina, he could have been withdrawn. So Dean, a two-man competition, could yet the story he has served:
“Representation” of the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party, “I am courageous David against the Goliath of the establishment, the party has prepared, in collaboration with President Bush. Democrats really want to nominate Kerry - a Washington insider and false populist, voted for war? ”
Kerry Bush is less planning for a challenge, because it is less exotic than Edwards, is defined by utilities time, it is inexplicable and happy. Let us face it, Kerry looks like someone who has a lot of life, while Edwards sees someone like we welcome the PROM. But Edwards has been appointed, he would immediately graduate gravitas. However, Edwards’ real role in this year can be regarded as a catalyst for new democratic reflection on the south.
For generations, Republicans won the presidency to win, without large numbers of votes in southern Electoral College.
In the 11 states of the confederacy plus Kentucky and Oklahoma, the seven Republican first elected president after the end of Reconstruction in 1877 won the election figures of voice: Garfield 0, 0 Harrison, 12 McKinley (Kentucky), 0 Roosevelt, Taft 0, Harding 22 (Oklahoma and Tennessee), Coolidge 13 (Kentucky). In 1928, Hoover has won 85 (Florida, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia), but only because Democrats nominated a Catholic, Al Smith.
During the year 1952 began on Republican Eisenhower increase in the south and won 65 electoral votes of Florida, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia. Remember, there was the Supreme Court’s 1954 ruling repeal of racial segregation in schools. During 1956, well before citizens’ rights revolution reached a boil, add 20 more votes Eisenhower, Kentucky and Louisiana.
Many academic and journalistic energy has been spent trying to prove that the Republicans have the pressure of competition in the south, not because of positive changes, but because of a negative variation of the GOP - pandering to racists. But Gerard Alexander of the University of Virginia notes that Eisenhower, Richard Nixon in 1960, among respondents deep south evil White. Eisenhower has more in the southern outskirts, “the less marked.
US represent more than half the votes in elections in the South, Alexander finds, consistently in the game “from 1952. It was there Goldwater’s candidacy, there is busing of school and, in an era where the Republican Congress has been stronger than trailers Democrats were citizens’ rights bills. An increase in the share of Republicans as Democratic senators voted for in 1964 and 1965 bills of citizens’ rights and, in the deep south Blanche 1968 preferred George Wallace to Nixon.
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